This changes often, basically its my educated guesses for how the upcoming oscar nominees will turn out. Enjoy.
Oscar Prediction
Best Picture
-Amelia
-The Hurt Locker
-Invictus
-The Lovely Bones
-Nine
-Precious
-A Serious Man
-Star Trek
-Up
-Up in the Air
WINNER: Either Up in the Air or The Hurt Locker. Because The Hurt Locker has reviews locked but Up in the Air just looks like a winner, another possibility could be Precious.
RUNNER UP: An Education, Bright Star, A Single Man, Avatar, The Road
Director
Kathyrn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Joel, Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
Lee Daniels, Precious
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
WINNER: My vote is on Reitman just because he seems overdue and he has a very modest yet satisfying directing style.
RUNNER UPS: Lone Scherfig, An Education; Jane Campion, Bright Star; Rob Marshall, Nine; Michael Haneke, The White Ribbon; and James Cameron, Avatar
Actor
-George Clooney, Up in the Air
-Colin Firth, A Single Man
-Morgan Freeman, Invictus
-Viggo Mortensen, The Road
-Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
WINNER: Morgan Freeman, Invictus but I can see a possibility of Firth getting it for A Single Man.
RUNNER UP: Matt Damon, The Informant!; Daniel Day Lewis, Nine; Christopher Plummer, The Last Station; Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man; Hal Holbrook, That Evening Sun; Peter Sarsfaard, An Education; Nicolas Cage, Bad Lieutenant; and Mark Wahlberg, The Lovely Bones.
BEST ACTRESS
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Saorise Ronan, The Lovely Bones
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia
Hilary Swank, Amelia
WINNER: Carey Mulligan is the best bet here.
RUNNER UP: Abbie Cornish, Bright Star; Helen Mirren, Love Ranch; Audrey Tatou, Coco avant Chanel; Penelope Cruz, Broken Embraces; Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall, The Road
Anthony Mackie, The Hurt Locker
Alfred Molina, An Education
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
WINNER: Waltzs performance was more than excellence so i'd have to say him, but he has some very tough competition.
RUNNER UP: Matt Damon, Invictus; Richard Gere, Amelia; Paul Schneider, Bright Star; Richard Kind, A Serious Man; James McAvoy, The Last Station
Supporting Actress
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Susan Sarandon, The Lovely Bones
WINNER: Tough tough tough, but i'm going with Mo'Nique, she has received rave reviews and just looking at her in the trailer. It looks amazing.
RUNNER UP: Julianne Moore, A Single Man; Judi Dench, Nine; Melanie Laurent, Inglourious Basterds; Mariah Carey, Precious
Adapted Screenplay
-An Education
-Invictus
-The Lovely Bones
-Precious
-Up in the Air
WINNER: Probably Precious, its practically set in stone for a picture nominee, with a possible win so why not give it the screenplay to, however the screenwritters behind Lovely Bones are all past award nominees so idk.
RUNNER UP: Amelia, Nine, Where the Wild Things Are, The Informant!, The Road
Original Screenplay
-500 Days of Summer
-The Hurt Locker
-A Serious Man
-A Single Man
-Up
WINNER: The Coen Brothers are fantastic writers but the imaginaitive creative minds behind Up will probably be getting this award.
RUNNER UP: Bright Star; Away We Go; Pirate Radio; Avatar; The White Ribbon
Animated Feature
-Coraline
-Fantastic Mr. Fox
-Ponyo
-The Princess and the Frog
-Up
WINNER: Up is almost a gurantee.
RUNNER UP: Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs, Planet 51, A Christmas Carol, 9, Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Documentary Feature
-Anvil!: The Story of Anvil
-Capatilism: A Love Story
-The Cove
-Defamation
-Food Inc.
WINNER: The Cove is a beautiful documentary which reviews have ranked very favorably. Capitilism could catch up though Michael Moore is an oscar winner. An asshole but an oscar winner.
RUNNER UP: Burma VJ, The Beaches of Agnes, It Might Get Loud, Every Little Step, The September Issue
Foreign Film
-Baaria
-Forever Enthralled
-A Prophet
-Samson and Delilah
-The White Ribbon
WINNER: Close between A Prophet and The White Ribbon, review wise The White Ribbon though.
RUNNER UP: Afghan Star, I Killed My Mother, For a Moment, Freedom; Ward No. 6; The Secret of Her Eyes
Art Direction
-Amelia
-Avatar
-Bright Star
-Nine
-Where the Wild Things Are
WINNER: Probably Nine will have some good art toward it but Wild Things and Bright Star are in its shadow.
RUNNER UP: Harry Potter and the HAlf Blood Prince; Public Enemies; The Road; The Tempest
Cinematography
-Amelia
-Bright Star
-The Hurt Locker
-Nine
-The Road
WINNER: Probably The Hurt Locker, some of the angles in that film were extraorinary.
RUNNER UP" Public Enemies, Invictus, Broken Embraces, Avatar
Costume Design
-Amelia
-Bright Star
-Nine
-Public Enemies
-Where the Wild Things Are
WINNER: Bright Star has all that old age style that usually wins not to mention a 3 time nominee desiging who is probably overdue, however Nine and Public Enemies each have a Atwood designing who has 7 noms and 2 wins.
Editing
-Avatar
-Bright Star
-The Hurt Locker
-The Lovely Bones
-Nine
WINNER: Nine more than likely, musicals are usually favored. However The Hurt Locker could get it as well.
RUNNER UP: Biutiful, Public Enemies, An Education, Up in the Air
Makeup Design
-Avatar
-Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
-Star Trek
WINNER: Pretty Close but i'd probably have to say Avatar, the makeup does seem interestingly done in it.
RUNNER UP: Cheri, The Tempest, The Young Victoria, Bright Star, Where the Wild Things Are, The Road, Sherlock Holmes
Visual Effects
-Avatar
-Star Trek
-Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
WINNER: Effects wise id normally think Transformers would prevail but since it was a horrible film i'd have to say Avatar.
RUNNER UP: Harry Potter, District 9, Night at the Museum 2, The Lovely Bones, 2012, Terminator Salvation, GI Joe: Rise of Cobra
Original Score
-Agora
-Avatar
-A Christmas Carol
-Star Trek
-Up
WINNER: Avatar, because the score is done by Horner 7 time nominee and 1 win.
RUNNER UP: Broken Embraces, Bright Star, The Road, Coraline, The Lovely Bones
Original Song (Not sure of the song, but its probably in these movies.)
-Bruno
-A Christmas Carol
-Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs
-Nine
-Princess and the Frog
WINNER: Nine because its a musical, and may get more than one nominee.
RUNNER UP: Fame, Pirate Radio, Up, Up in the Air, Planet 51
Sound FX Editing
-2012
-Avatar
-The Hurt Locker
-Star Trek
-Up
WINNER: Avatar is a big technical category fan so it might take it or jsut give this one to Star Trek, it deserves at least one oscar.
RUNNER UP: Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen, District 9, GI JOe: Rise of Cobra, Public Enemies, Watchmen
Sound Mixing
-Avatar
-Nine
-Star Trek
-Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
-Up
WINNER: Once again Avatar looks pretty technically beastly.
RUNNER UP: 2012, The Hurt Locker, 9, District 9, Harry Potter
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